Buxton 0-0 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.44/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.55
-8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.04.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.11.2022 Buxton Buxton 0-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
11.01.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İNGNLP
07.12.2021 Buxton Buxton 5-1 HT 2-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İNGNLP
13.10.2020 Buxton Buxton 4-1 HT 2-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
0-0
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton and Scarborough Athletic fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Buxton at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Buxton had 53% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 47%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Buxton and 1.00 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic?

Buxton 0-0 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Buxton 42%, draw 23%, Scarborough Athletic 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Buxton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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