Southport 0-0 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
44%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
13.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-9.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
44%
Away Win
31%
+12.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
0.84/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.12
-42% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
07.01.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-1 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
13.08.2022 Southport Southport 0-3 HT 0-2 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
0-0
AWAY Peterborough Sports
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southport vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport and Peterborough Sports played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Peterborough Sports at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southport had 50% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 50%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Peterborough Sports led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Southport and 2.33 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Southport vs Peterborough Sports?

Southport 0-0 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Southport 33%, draw 23%, Peterborough Sports 44%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough Sports) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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