02/03/2024
·
15:35
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Al Sahel vs Arar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
Over
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
37%
4-5
18%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
14%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
49%
Home Win
40%
32%
Draw
32%
19%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Sahel v Arar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Sahel
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Arar
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-54%
/
-1%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
381 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
322 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Sahel vs Arar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Sahel and Arar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Al Sahel at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Al Sahel vs Arar?
Al Sahel 1-1 Arar in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Sahel vs Arar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Sahel 49%, draw 32%, Arar 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Sahel), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Sahel)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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