Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.78
Draw
32%
4.95
Away
54%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
14%
X/1
3%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
2%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
+4.2pp
32%
Draw
17%
+14.8pp
54%
Away Win
73%
-18.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.44/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.88/0.73
-100% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -66%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 543 · 88%
9.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.5
8.5 Crosses 22.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.58 xG 3.31
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
245 Passes 669
83% Pass Accuracy 91%
9 Box Touches 40
6 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
10.03.2024 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKFAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1-2
AWAY Manchester City (K)
1.21 xG 1.20
29% Ball Possession 71%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
165 Passes 549
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) squeezed past Tottenham Hotspur (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had 29% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 71%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.21 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tottenham Hotspur (K) and 2.50 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tottenham Hotspur (K) 14%, draw 32%, Manchester City (K) 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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