Djurgarden 3-4 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.24/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.06
+33% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +59%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Göteborg
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.94 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
406 Passes 334
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-1 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
01.04.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-4 HT 0-2 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
03.03.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇK
13.08.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
23.04.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
18.09.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-0 HT 2-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
3-4
AWAY Göteborg
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg squeezed past Djurgarden 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 58% of the ball to Göteborg's 42%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Djurgarden and 0.67 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Göteborg?

Djurgarden 3-4 Göteborg in the Sweden - Cup on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 47%, draw 25%, Göteborg 29%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Djurgarden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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