Malmö FF 3-0 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
31%
2.52
6+ Goals
11%
5.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.9pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.75/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.25
+17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / +89%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.96 xG 0.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
493 Passes 285
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
20.04.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ
21.02.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-2 HT 0-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
3-0
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF ran out comfortable winners over Vasteras SK FK 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Malmö FF had 67% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 33%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malmö FF and 1.00 for Vasteras SK FK.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Vasteras SK FK?

Malmö FF 3-0 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Cup on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 58%, draw 20%, Vasteras SK FK 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5
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