GAIS 0-3 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 26% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
15%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 34%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.03/0.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.68
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Norrköping
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
348 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2024 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
14.04.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
19.02.2023 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
01.03.2014 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
01.10.2012 Norrköping Norrköping 7-2 HT 4-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
22.04.2012 GAIS GAIS 2-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
0-3
AWAY Norrköping
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping cruised past GAIS 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was GAIS at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, GAIS had 60% of the ball to Norrköping's 40%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for GAIS and 1.67 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Norrköping?

GAIS 0-3 Norrköping in the Sweden - Cup on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split GAIS 44%, draw 24%, Norrköping 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (GAIS), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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