Illescas 0-3 Mostoles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostoles EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.71/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.36
+94% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illescas
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mostoles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
20.10.2024 Mostoles 0-1 Illescas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
0-3
AWAY Mostoles
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Illescas vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostoles cruised past Illescas 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Illescas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Illescas had 51% of the ball to Mostoles's 49%, shots finished 5-14.

What was the final score of Illescas vs Mostoles?

Illescas 0-3 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs Mostoles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illescas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Illescas 44%, draw 29%, Mostoles 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Illescas), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illescas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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