Mostoles vs Illescas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mostoles v Illescas — Team-Based Signals
Mostoles 0-1 Illescas — Actual Match Statistics
Illescas nicked a narrow win over Mostoles 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Mostoles at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Mostoles had 45% of the ball to Illescas's 55%, shots finished 7-6.
What was the final score of Mostoles vs Illescas?
Mostoles 0-1 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Illescas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mostoles win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 41%, draw 28%, Illescas 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mostoles) went the other way.