Union Adarve 1-2 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.2pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.4pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 45%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.92/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.49
-4% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +98%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Talavera CF
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
11.02.2024 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-0 HT 1-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
01.10.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
12.02.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-3 HT 0-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
25.09.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 2-0 HT 1-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
1-2
AWAY Talavera CF
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF squeezed past Union Adarve 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; Talavera CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Adarve had 55% of the ball to Talavera CF's 45%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Union Adarve had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Union Adarve and 0.60 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs Talavera CF?

Union Adarve 1-2 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 31%, draw 34%, Talavera CF 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (31/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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