Isidro Metapan 2-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
39%
2.88
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.5pp
39%
Draw
31%
+7.7pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.05/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.98
-13% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Alianza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
08.12.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
06.12.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
03.11.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
01.09.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-2 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
28.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
25.01.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan edged past Alianza 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 39% / 30%) promised a tight game; Isidro Metapan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.83 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Alianza?

Isidro Metapan 2-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 31%, draw 39%, Alianza 30%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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