Mokpo City 0-2 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
0.82/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.95
-28% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Changwon City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
01.09.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-3 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
05.05.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 3-0 HT 2-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
23.03.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GKOK
09.09.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 4-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
12.05.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
21.08.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City saw off Mokpo City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Changwon City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mokpo City and 1.67 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Changwon City?

Mokpo City 0-2 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mokpo City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 37%, draw 27%, Changwon City 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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