Kecskemeti TE 2-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 2 Mar 2025

Kecskemeti TE
2-2 HT 1-1
Paksi SE
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Kecskemeti TE vs Paksi SE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.54
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 29% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kecskemeti TE v Paksi SE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.49/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.64
-12% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
22.1 Crosses 23.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Kecskemeti TE vs Paksi SE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Paksi SE
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.32
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
350 Passes 188
73% Pass Accuracy 60%
22 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
05.05.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
07.10.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
28.04.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-3 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.02.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC

Kecskemeti TE 2-2 Paksi SE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2-2
AWAY Paksi SE
2.18 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 242
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE and Paksi SE couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 52% of the ball to Paksi SE's 48%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.18 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.00 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Paksi SE?

Kecskemeti TE 2-2 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 35%, draw 29%, Paksi SE 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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