Real Esteli 3-0 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.0pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.9pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.9pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 8%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.42/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.94
-3% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Rancho Santana
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
16 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 3-2 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
06.10.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-3 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
03.08.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-0 HT 3-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Rancho Santana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli ran out comfortable winners over Rancho Santana 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Real Esteli and 1.33 for Rancho Santana.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Rancho Santana?

Real Esteli 3-0 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 67%, draw 21%, Rancho Santana 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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