Managua 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
78%
-19.0pp
21%
Draw
15%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+13.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -15%
2.40/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.95
-4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2025 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-3 Managua Managua NİK
06.10.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
04.08.2024 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
18.03.2024 Managua Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
21.01.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
28.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
74% Ball Possession 26%
29 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua and Deportivo Ocotal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Managua carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Managua had 74% of the ball to Deportivo Ocotal's 26%, shots finished 29-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Managua and 1.50 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Managua 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Managua 59%, draw 21%, Deportivo Ocotal 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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