Deportivo Ocotal 2-3 Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
24%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.0pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
10%
+13.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Managua EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.82/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.68
-22% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +40%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Managua
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
04.08.2024 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
18.03.2024 Managua Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
21.01.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
28.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
30.07.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua edged past Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Ocotal carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 1.67 for Managua.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Managua?

Deportivo Ocotal 2-3 Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Ocotal win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 58%, draw 18%, Managua 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) ✗ BTTS No
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