Legia Varşova 3-1 Slask Wroclaw — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.13 — our 26% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
20%
3.95
X/2
8%
11.9
X/X
12%
5.76
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
8%
9.98
2/X
5%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-6.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
2.03/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.43
+20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.0 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.01
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
427 Passes 230
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
21.04.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
21.10.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 4-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
27.05.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-1 HT 2-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
13.11.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
07.03.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
3-1
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
1.84 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
336 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Slask Wroclaw
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova beat Slask Wroclaw 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 53% of the ball to Slask Wroclaw's 47%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.84 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.00 for Slask Wroclaw.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Slask Wroclaw?

Legia Varşova 3-1 Slask Wroclaw in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Slask Wroclaw?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 56%, draw 23%, Slask Wroclaw 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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