Khimki 1-0 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

Khimki
1-0 HT 1-0
Fakel
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Khimki vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.81
6+ Goals
11%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
17%
4.83
X/2
13%
6.6
X/X
12%
3.83
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
8%
5.21
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Khimki v Fakel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.50/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.03
-12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
14.9 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Khimki vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Fakel
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.93 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
219 Passes 194
65% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 1-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
03.03.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 1-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
15.10.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
21.09.2019 Fakel Fakel 0-3 HT 0-2 Khimki Khimki RUS1
21.10.2017 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS1

Khimki 1-0 Fakel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
1-0
AWAY Fakel
0.40 xG 0.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
233 Passes 368
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki nicked a narrow win over Fakel 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Khimki as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Khimki had 42% of the ball to Fakel's 58%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.40 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Khimki had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Khimki and 0.40 for Fakel.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Fakel?

Khimki 1-0 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Khimki 46%, draw 26%, Fakel 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khimki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Khimki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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