Spartak Moskova 2-0 FK Orenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

Spartak Moskova
2-0 HT 0-0
FK Orenburg
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Spartak Moskova vs FK Orenburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.29
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.63
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
31%
2.66
6+ Goals
12%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.45
X/1
25%
3.83
X/2
4%
19.35
X/X
8%
8.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.15
2/2
6%
15.85
2/X
5%
24.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
73%
-6.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.6pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Moskova v FK Orenburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
2.01/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.03
-9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.1 Crosses 16.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Spartak Moskova vs FK Orenburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Orenburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 1.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
404 Passes 249
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.07.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
25.05.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
14.03.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-1 HT 1-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUK
29.11.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
23.07.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-2 HT 1-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
18.03.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS

Spartak Moskova 2-0 FK Orenburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
2-0
AWAY FK Orenburg
1.06 xG 0.62
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
468 Passes 217
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs FK Orenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova beat FK Orenburg 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 64% of the ball to FK Orenburg's 36%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.06 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Orenburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.33 for FK Orenburg.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs FK Orenburg?

Spartak Moskova 2-0 FK Orenburg in the Russia - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs FK Orenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 67%, draw 18%, FK Orenburg 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5
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