Rostov 1-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.36
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 27% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.61
1/2
6%
24.3
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
6.03
X/2
11%
5.94
X/X
14%
5.37
2/1
5%
24.7
2/2
17%
3.53
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · X/1 at 6.03 — our 21% vs market 12.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.8pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.62/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.41
+33% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
20.5 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.74 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
259 Passes 324
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Rostov Rostov 4-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow HAZ
01.11.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.03.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-4 HT 0-3 Rostov Rostov RUS
03.09.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-2 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
06.11.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
18.10.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
2.41 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
219 Passes 204
64% Pass Accuracy 63%
40 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and Dinamo Moscow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rostov had 53% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 47%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.41 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rostov and 1.33 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow?

Rostov 1-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rostov 39%, draw 27%, Dinamo Moscow 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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