Mura 1-1 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.0
6+ Goals
7%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 31% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-4.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.45/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.23
+32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
0W-2D-4L
AWAY NK Bravo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-1 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
17.08.2024 Mura Mura 2-3 HT 1-3 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
12.05.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 1-1 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
13.03.2024 Mura Mura 1-2 HT 0-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
03.12.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
16.09.2023 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-1
AWAY NK Bravo
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mura vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura and NK Bravo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Mura had 55% of the ball to NK Bravo's 45%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Bravo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mura and 1.83 for NK Bravo.

What was the final score of Mura vs NK Bravo?

Mura 1-1 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Bravo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mura 32%, draw 31%, NK Bravo 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (NK Bravo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Bravo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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