Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
13%
14.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.53 — our 24% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +21%
1.29/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
-1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celje
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
18.08.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-2 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
28.04.2024 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
02.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
05.11.2023 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
27.08.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 HT 1-2 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2-0
AWAY Celje
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana beat Celje 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 44% of the ball to Celje's 56%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.33 for Celje.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 43%, draw 23%, Celje 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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