Çaykur Rizespor 3-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
4.6
X/2
12%
8.81
X/X
9%
5.22
2/1
8%
22.1
2/2
8%
6.46
2/X
10%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.75/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.36
+3% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.3 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
299 Passes 397
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
20.01.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
19.08.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
03.04.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
05.11.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.02.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.78 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 Passes 259
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor saw off Alanyaspor 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 52% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 48%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.78 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.17 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?

Çaykur Rizespor 3-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 48%, draw 26%, Alanyaspor 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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