Ho Chi Minh 1-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.51
Over 2.5
29%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.2pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.1pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.4pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.17/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.52
-17% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ho Chi Minh
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.01.2025 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-2 HT 1-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
25.05.2024 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 4-1 HT 1-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
09.03.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-1 HT 2-1 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
25.06.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
09.10.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-2 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
16.07.2022 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 0-2 HT 0-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ho Chi Minh
1-0
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ho Chi Minh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ho Chi Minh edged past Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ho Chi Minh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ho Chi Minh had 42% of the ball to Hoang Anh Gia Lai's 58%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ho Chi Minh and 1.33 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai.

What was the final score of Ho Chi Minh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Ho Chi Minh 1-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ho Chi Minh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ho Chi Minh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ho Chi Minh 38%, draw 28%, Hoang Anh Gia Lai 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ho Chi Minh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ho Chi Minh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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