Neftçi PFK 1-2 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 40%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.00/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-100% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / -56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftçi PFK
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sabah
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
19.01.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
27.10.2024 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
18.08.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-2 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
25.05.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.01.2024 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
29.10.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah edged past Neftçi PFK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sabah found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Neftçi PFK and 0.83 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Sabah?

Neftçi PFK 1-2 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 34%, draw 29%, Sabah 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERK More Azerbaijan - Cup
2 Apr 2025
16:00 Araz Nahçıvan vs Karabağ Analysis →