Araz Nahçıvan vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Araz Nahçıvan v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals
Araz Nahçıvan vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Karabağ
AZERS
2-1
HT 1-0
Araz Nahçıvan
AZERS
Araz Nahçıvan edged past Karabağ 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 2.50 for Karabağ.
What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Karabağ?
Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Karabağ?
Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 25%, draw 30%, Karabağ 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Karabağ) went the other way.