Cerro Porteno vs Bolivar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Porteno v Bolivar — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Porteno vs Bolivar Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Cerro Porteno
LKU
0-4
HT 0-3
Bolivar
LKU
Cerro Porteno 4-2 Bolivar — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno got the better of Bolivar 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Cerro Porteno had 33% of the ball to Bolivar's 67%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.26 to 0.43.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cerro Porteno and 3.00 for Bolivar.
What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Bolivar?
Cerro Porteno 4-2 Bolivar in the Copa Libertadores on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Bolivar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 47%, draw 26%, Bolivar 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.