Fortaleza 0-3 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.5
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
16%
5.27
X/2
7%
6.49
X/X
10%
3.86
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
19%
4.85
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 33%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.33/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.18
-27% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.4 Crosses 15.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
0-3
AWAY Racing Club
0.58 xG 2.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 8
276 Passes 178
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 33
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fortaleza vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club cruised past Fortaleza 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Fortaleza had 58% of the ball to Racing Club's 42%, shots finished 14-24, expected goals 0.58 to 2.24.

What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Racing Club?

Fortaleza 0-3 Racing Club in the Copa Libertadores on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 41%, draw 27%, Racing Club 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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