Barcelona SC 1-0 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 2 Apr 2025

Barcelona SC
1-0 HT 1-0
Independiente Del Valle
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2025

Barcelona SC vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 33% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.37
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.34
X/2
11%
6.6
X/X
15%
4.24
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
4.69
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona SC v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.15/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.59
-9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
16.3 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Barcelona SC vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 1.53
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
228 Passes 398
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.03.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-4 HT 0-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
11.08.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 3-2 HT 3-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
10.03.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-1 HT 3-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
19.08.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
19.03.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
31.07.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1

Barcelona SC 1-0 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
1-0
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.67 xG 0.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
201 Passes 305
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC edged past Independiente Del Valle 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 43% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 57%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Barcelona SC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barcelona SC and 2.00 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Independiente Del Valle?

Barcelona SC 1-0 Independiente Del Valle in the Copa Libertadores on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 41%, draw 29%, Independiente Del Valle 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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