Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
8%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 29%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.30/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.71
-43% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Bratislava
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 0.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
478 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2025 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
01.03.2025 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
19.10.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
21.04.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 1-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
17.03.2024 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
02.03.2024 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Bratislava
2-1
AWAY Spartak Trnava
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Bratislava edged past Spartak Trnava 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slovan Bratislava as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slovan Bratislava had 55% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 45%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Bratislava had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 0.83 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava?

Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Bratislava win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Slovan Bratislava 43%, draw 27%, Spartak Trnava 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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