Maribor vs Celje Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maribor v Celje — Team-Based Signals
Maribor vs Celje Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Celje
SLVN
2-0
HT 1-0
Maribor
SLVN
Maribor 0-1 Celje — Actual Match Statistics
Celje edged past Maribor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Celje made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Maribor had 33% of the ball to Celje's 67%, shots finished 7-20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Maribor and 1.50 for Celje.
What was the final score of Maribor vs Celje?
Maribor 0-1 Celje in the Slovenia - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maribor vs Celje?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maribor 40%, draw 25%, Celje 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.