Alfaro 3-1 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Apr 2026

📅02/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfaro EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.23/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.71
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfaro
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Zaragoza II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2025 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 3-2 HT 2-1 Alfaro Alfaro İS4
20.04.2025 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 3-2 HT 1-0 Alfaro Alfaro İS4
08.12.2024 Alfaro Alfaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfaro
3-1
AWAY Zaragoza II
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alfaro vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfaro saw off Zaragoza II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Alfaro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alfaro had 28% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 72%, shots finished 9-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zaragoza II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alfaro and 2.00 for Zaragoza II.

What was the final score of Alfaro vs Zaragoza II?

Alfaro 3-1 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfaro vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfaro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 40%, draw 29%, Zaragoza II 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfaro), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alfaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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