Zaragoza II 3-2 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.79/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.62
+27% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaragoza II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Alfaro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2025 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 3-2 HT 1-0 Alfaro Alfaro İS4
08.12.2024 Alfaro Alfaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
3-2
AWAY Alfaro
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 9
15 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II nicked a narrow win over Alfaro 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zaragoza II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 64% of the ball to Alfaro's 36%, shots finished 22-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zaragoza II and 2.00 for Alfaro.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs Alfaro?

Zaragoza II 3-2 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 46%, draw 29%, Alfaro 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaragoza II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaragoza II) ✗ Under 2.5
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