Salamanca 2-1 Sarriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salamanca EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarriana EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.52/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-2% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +116% / -55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salamanca
2-1
AWAY Sarriana
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salamanca vs Sarriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salamanca squeezed past Sarriana 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salamanca as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Salamanca had 72% of the ball to Sarriana's 28%, shots finished 25-5.

What was the final score of Salamanca vs Sarriana?

Salamanca 2-1 Sarriana in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salamanca vs Sarriana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salamanca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Salamanca 51%, draw 26%, Sarriana 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salamanca), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salamanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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