Mutilvera 1-3 Naxara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mutilvera EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxara EU Bookmakers 33%
+17% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.66/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.34
+36% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mutilvera
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Naxara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Mutilvera Mutilvera 1-0 HT 0-0 Naxara Naxara İS4
17.09.2023 Naxara Naxara 0-1 HT 0-1 Mutilvera Mutilvera İS4
30.01.2022 Naxara Naxara 4-1 HT 2-1 Mutilvera Mutilvera İS4
11.09.2021 Mutilvera Mutilvera 3-2 HT 2-1 Naxara Naxara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mutilvera
1-3
AWAY Naxara
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mutilvera vs Naxara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxara got the better of Mutilvera 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mutilvera at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mutilvera had 51% of the ball to Naxara's 49%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mutilvera had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mutilvera and 1.50 for Naxara.

What was the final score of Mutilvera vs Naxara?

Mutilvera 1-3 Naxara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mutilvera vs Naxara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mutilvera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mutilvera 44%, draw 31%, Naxara 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mutilvera), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mutilvera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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