Mutilvera 1-0 Naxara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mutilvera EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxara EU Bookmakers 32%
+16% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.71/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.41
+45% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mutilvera
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Naxara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Naxara Naxara 0-1 HT 0-1 Mutilvera Mutilvera İS4
30.01.2022 Naxara Naxara 4-1 HT 2-1 Mutilvera Mutilvera İS4
11.09.2021 Mutilvera Mutilvera 3-2 HT 2-1 Naxara Naxara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mutilvera
1-0
AWAY Naxara
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mutilvera vs Naxara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mutilvera squeezed past Naxara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mutilvera as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mutilvera had 46% of the ball to Naxara's 54%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mutilvera had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mutilvera and 2.00 for Naxara.

What was the final score of Mutilvera vs Naxara?

Mutilvera 1-0 Naxara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mutilvera vs Naxara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mutilvera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mutilvera 44%, draw 29%, Naxara 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mutilvera), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mutilvera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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