Arenas de Getxo 0-1 CD Calahorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Calahorra EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
0.97/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.33
-19% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
36.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Calahorra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2023 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 0-1 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
21.12.2019 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 2-1 HT 0-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
0-1
AWAY CD Calahorra
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs CD Calahorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Calahorra nicked a narrow win over Arenas de Getxo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; CD Calahorra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 62% of the ball to CD Calahorra's 38%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arenas de Getxo and 1.00 for CD Calahorra.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs CD Calahorra?

Arenas de Getxo 0-1 CD Calahorra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs CD Calahorra?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Calahorra win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 33%, draw 31%, CD Calahorra 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Calahorra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Calahorra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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