Real Valladolid II 1-0 Real Oviedo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo II EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.32/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.44
+4% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Oviedo II
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
25.03.2023 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 2-3 HT 1-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
06.11.2022 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II İS4
14.03.2021 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II İS3
12.12.2020 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
1-0
AWAY Real Oviedo II
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Real Oviedo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II nicked a narrow win over Real Oviedo II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Valladolid II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 54% of the ball to Real Oviedo II's 46%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Real Valladolid II and 0.40 for Real Oviedo II.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Real Oviedo II?

Real Valladolid II 1-0 Real Oviedo II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Real Oviedo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 46%, draw 27%, Real Oviedo II 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Valladolid II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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