Compostela 2-0 Covadonga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Covadonga EU Bookmakers 20%
-17% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.17/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.77
-34% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Covadonga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Covadonga Covadonga 1-1 HT 0-1 Compostela Compostela İS4
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Covadonga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela beat Covadonga 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Compostela as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Covadonga?

Compostela 2-0 Covadonga in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Covadonga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Compostela 54%, draw 24%, Covadonga 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Compostela), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Compostela) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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