Rayo Cantabria 1-1 UD Ourense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
1-1
AWAY UD Ourense
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs UD Ourense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria and UD Ourense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Cantabria at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 45% of the ball to UD Ourense's 55%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs UD Ourense?

Rayo Cantabria 1-1 UD Ourense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs UD Ourense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 43%, draw 27%, UD Ourense 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rayo Cantabria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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