Zaragoza II 3-2 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.98/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.85
+20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaragoza II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alfaro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.12.2024 Alfaro Alfaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
3-2
AWAY Alfaro
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II squeezed past Alfaro 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zaragoza II as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 43% of the ball to Alfaro's 57%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs Alfaro?

Zaragoza II 3-2 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 55%, draw 23%, Alfaro 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaragoza II) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaragoza II) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
20 Apr 2025
13:00 Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles Analysis →
13:00 SS Reyes vs Illescas Analysis →
13:00 Union Adarve vs Conquense Analysis →
13:00 Cadiz II vs Antoniano Analysis →
13:00 Linense vs Linares Deportivo Analysis →
13:00 Espanyol II vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Analysis →