Sport Recife vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
Sport Recife 1-1 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife and Vila Nova shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sport Recife at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Sport Recife had 39% of the ball to Vila Nova's 61%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.68 to 1.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sport Recife and 0.33 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Vila Nova?
Sport Recife 1-1 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 02/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 53%, draw 27%, Vila Nova 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sport Recife), BTTS No went the other way.