America Mineiro 1-2 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 2 Apr 2026

📅02/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.31/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.18
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.8 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 0.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
396 Passes 231
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-1 HT 1-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
06.04.2025 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
10.08.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 2-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
20.04.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
16.01.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
17.10.2020 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-2 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
1-2
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.19 xG 1.12
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 7
435 Passes 176
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Botafogo SP edged past America Mineiro 2-1 away from home in the Brazil - Serie B on 2 Apr 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, America Mineiro had 68% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 32%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.19 to 1.12.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for America Mineiro and 1.00 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP?

America Mineiro 1-2 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 02/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 51%, draw 28%, Botafogo SP 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (America Mineiro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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