Botafogo SP 2-1 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
14%
5.25
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.12 — our 42% vs market 38.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.8pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.1pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.95/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.13
-27% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.5 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
0W-3D-3L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.43
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 Passes 400
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
10.08.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 2-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
20.04.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
16.01.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
17.10.2020 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-2 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
07.09.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
2-1
AWAY America Mineiro
1.33 xG 1.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
301 Passes 250
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP squeezed past America Mineiro 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Botafogo SP made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 52% of the ball to America Mineiro's 48%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.33 to 1.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured America Mineiro.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Botafogo SP and 1.33 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro?

Botafogo SP 2-1 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 32%, draw 32%, America Mineiro 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
3 Aug 2025
00:00 Chapecoense vs CRB Analysis →
02:30 Amazonas vs Goias Analysis →
22:00 Novorizontino vs Avai Analysis →