Novorizontino 1-1 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.09
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
20%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.47
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
44%
+6.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.54/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.14
+31% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
23.2 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Avai
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.10 xG 0.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2025 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
23.10.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-0 HT 2-0 Avai Avai BR2
09.07.2024 Avai Avai 0-1 HT 0-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
12.09.2023 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
24.05.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-1
AWAY Avai
2.28 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
421 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino and Avai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Novorizontino at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Novorizontino had 60% of the ball to Avai's 40%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.28 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Novorizontino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Novorizontino and 0.40 for Avai.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Avai?

Novorizontino 1-1 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 51%, draw 29%, Avai 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novorizontino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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