Novorizontino vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novorizontino v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Novorizontino vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Novorizontino
BR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
Novorizontino 2-0 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Novorizontino got the better of Avai 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Novorizontino had 34% of the ball to Avai's 66%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.08 to 0.98.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Novorizontino had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Novorizontino and 0.33 for Avai.
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Avai?
Novorizontino 2-0 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 44%, draw 29%, Avai 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.