CRB 0-1 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.38
Over 2.5
42%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
6.73
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
69%
-10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
31%
+10.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.26/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.19
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
19.9 Crosses 12.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.41 xG 0.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
344 Passes 380
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2024 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
29.09.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
08.06.2023 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
0-1
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.07 xG 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
395 Passes 370
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CRB vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC squeezed past CRB 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CRB at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CRB had 51% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 49%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.07 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CRB and 0.67 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of CRB vs Mirassol FC?

CRB 0-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CRB 42%, draw 30%, Mirassol FC 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CRB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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