Santos vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Santos
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Ceara
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Ceara
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Ceara
BR1
Santos 1-0 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Santos nicked a narrow win over Ceara 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Santos had 39% of the ball to Ceara's 61%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.54 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos and 0.67 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Santos vs Ceara?
Santos 1-0 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Santos 48%, draw 24%, Ceara 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.