Chapecoense 3-2 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.34
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.4 Crosses 19.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CRB
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.04.2025 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
26.08.2024 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
11.05.2024 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 2-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
08.11.2023 CRB CRB 3-2 HT 2-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
09.07.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
05.10.2022 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
3-2
AWAY CRB
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
387 Passes 418
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense nicked a narrow win over CRB 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chapecoense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chapecoense had 49% of the ball to CRB's 51%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chapecoense and 1.50 for CRB.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs CRB?

Chapecoense 3-2 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 49%, draw 25%, CRB 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✓ BTTS Yes
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