Stade Nyonnais 1-0 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 37%
-17% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.56/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.18
-39% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
236 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
24.2 Crosses 15.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vaduz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.65 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 Passes 339
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
03.12.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-1 HT 0-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
21.07.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
24.04.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-2 HT 0-2 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
17.03.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 1-3 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
08.12.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-0 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1-0
AWAY Vaduz
0.99 xG 0.69
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
263 Passes 490
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Nyonnais nicked a narrow win over Vaduz 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Stade Nyonnais found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 37% of the ball to Vaduz's 63%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.99 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Nyonnais had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 0.83 for Vaduz.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Vaduz?

Stade Nyonnais 1-0 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Nyonnais win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 37%, draw 25%, Vaduz 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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